Consensus Mock Draft: Ayton or Doncic for Suns?

NBA.com Global on May 19, 2018 03:53 PM
Consensus Mock Draft: Ayton or Doncic for Suns?
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By Drew Packham, NBA.com

The Consensus Mock Draft is a compilation of the best mock drafts around the web. We bring them together to come up with a good estimate of how the 2018 NBA Draft could play out.

For the first time in their history, the Phoenix Suns have the No. 1 pick in the NBA Draft. But what will they do with it? Go with talented big man DeAndre Ayton, who played college ball nearby at Arizona? Or do they go with the international phenom Luka Doncic, who has been one of the most celebrated players in Europe? We'll find out June 21 (June 22, PHL time). Until then, we'll continue to monitor the Mock Drafts around the web to come up with a clearer picture of what might go down.

Some notes after Tuesday's (Wednesday, PHL time) Draft Lottery:

- There's no consensus at No. 1, but all 10 mock drafts have either Ayton or Doncic going to the Suns. Most believe the Kings will take whomever is available between those two at No. 2.

- Seven of the 10 mocks have Marvin Bagley III going No. 3 to the Hawks. The other three have Michigan State's Jaren Jackson heading to Atlanta.

- Oklahoma guard Trae Young should go somewhere between No. 6, where he appears most often (4 times) and No. 9.

- After the third pick, the rest of the lottery appears to be anyone's guess. No one appears more than five times at any position. This should change between now and June 21, but for now there's a lot of uncertainty.

- Eleven players appear on all 10 mocks we survey: Ayton, Doncic, Bagley, Jackson, Young, Mohamed Bamba, Michael Porter, Mikal Bridges, Miles Bridges and Wendell Carter

MOST COMMON PICKS

No. 1 (Suns): Ayton (7)
No. 2 (Kings): Doncic (7)
No. 3 (Hawks): Bagley III (7)
No. 4 (Grizzlies): Jackson, Jr. (5)
No. 5 (Mavericks): Bamba (5)
No. 6 (Magic): Young (5)
No. 7 (Bulls): Bamba (3)
No. 8 (Cavaliers): Porter, Mikal Bridges (2)
No. 9 (Knicks): Carter (3)
No. 10 (76ers): Mikal Bridges (4)
No. 11 (Hornets): Miles Bridges (5)
No. 12 (Clippers): Sexton (3)
No. 13 (Clippers): Williams (4)
No. 14 (Nuggets): Walker (3)

Most common (above): Pick at which the player is most commonly projected, with number of mock drafts in parentheses. For example, DeAndre Ayton is projected to go first in seven of the mock drafts listed below.

Top 14 (below): To calculate the consensus, we awarded 14 points for every mock draft in which the player went first overall, 13 for second, continuing to one point for the final lottery pick. The player with the highest point total represents the top overall selection, which is as follows:

No. 1: DeAndre Ayton | Phoenix Suns

Arizona | Position: C | Height: 7-1
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 1 (7)

Physical specimen who has size to shine in post, but agile and talented enough to develop outside game; should contribute from Day 1 to whomever lands him

No. 2: Luka Doncic | Sacramento Kings

Real Madrid | Position: SG/SF | Height: 6-8
Status: International
Most Common: 2 (7)

Versatile Slovenian is one of most NBA-ready international prospects ever; talented distributor who can play both guard positions

No. 3: Marvin Bagley III | Atlanta Hawks

Duke | Position: PF | Height: 6-11
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 3 (7)

ACC Player of the Year has all the makings of a small-ball center or power forward who can make defenses sweat -- all while rebounding at a prodigious rate

No. 4: Jaren Jackson, Jr. | Memphis Grizzlies

Michigan State | Position: PF | Height: 6-11
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 4 (5)

Outstanding defender who boasts an emerging offensive game that gives him great two-way potential

No. 5: Mohamed Bamba | Dallas Mavericks

Texas | Position: C | Height: 7-0
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 5 (5)

Long, talented defender was second in the country in blocked shots per game last season (3.7) and fourth in total blocks (111), drawing comparisons to Rudy Gobert and Clint Capela

No. 6: Michael Porter | Orlando Magic

Missouri | Position: SF | Height: 6-10
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 5 (3)

Teams will be wary of his back injury which limited him to just three games at Mizzou, but he can shoot, which with his length, makes him a valuable weapon

No. 7: Trae Young | Chicago Bulls

Oklahoma | Position: PG | Height: 6-2
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 6 (5)

Talented scorer led the nation in scoring (27.4) and assists (8.7) per game, but will need to improve on defensive end in NBA

No. 8: Wendell Carter | Cleveland Cavaliers

Duke | Position: PF/C | Height: 6-10
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 6, 9 (3)

Do-it-all big man draws comparisons to Al Horford; has huge hands that allow him to catch and score in the paint, while also having the physicality to finish through contact

No. 9: Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks

Villanova | Position: SG/SF | Height: 6-7
Status: Junior
Most Common: 10 (4)

The All-Big East first team selection who helped Villanova to a title is considered one of the best two-way prospects, drawing comparisons to Kawhi Leonard

No. 10: Miles Bridges | Philadelphia 76ers

Michigan State | Position: SF/PF | Height: 6-7
Status: Sophomore
Most Common: 11 (5)

The first team all-Big 10 selection averaged 17 points and 7 rebounds a game for the Spartans and was a finalist for the Wooden Award

No. 11: Collin Sexton | Charlotte Hornets

Alabama | Position: PG | Height: 6-2
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 9, 12 (3)

Was second in SEC in scoring (19.2 per game); his toughness and competitive streak are viewed highly by pro evaluators, even drawing comparisons to Russell Westbrook

No. 12: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | LA Clippers

Kentucky | Position: PG | Height: 6-6
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 12, 14 (2)

Long, lanky point guard grew during his one season at Kentucky, showing rapid improvement and finishing with a strong postseason

No. 13: Robert Williams | LA Clippers

Texas A&M | Position: PF/C | Height: 6-9
Status: Sophomore
Most Common: 13 (4)

Was an SEC all-Defensive Team selection, finishing in Top 20 nationally both in defensive rating and total blocks; questions remain about consistency of effort

No. 14: Kevin Knox | Denver Nuggets

Kentucky | Position: SF/PF | Height: 6-9
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 11, 13, 14 (2)

Showed potential as a perimeter threat and was an all-SEC freshmen team selection while starting 37 games at Kentucky

MOCK DRAFTS

ESPN.com

1. DeAndre Ayton
2. Luka Doncic
3. Marvin Bagley III
4. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
5. Mohamed Bamba
6. Trae Young
7. Wendell Carter
8. Michael Porter
9. Collin Sexton
10. Mikal Bridges
11. Miles Bridges
12. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
13. Lonnie Walker IV
14. Robert Williams

Last updated: May 15

The Ringer

1. Luka Doncic
2. DeAndre Ayton
3. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
4. Mohamed Bamba
5. Michael Porter
6. Marvin Bagley III
7. Miles Bridges
8. Mikal Bridges
9. Trae Young
10. Wendell Carter
11. Collin Sexton
12. Troy Brown
13. Robert Williams
14. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Last updated: May 15

NBADraft.net

1. DeAndre Ayton
2. Luka Doncic
3. Marvin Bagley III
4. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
5. Michael Porter
6. Wendell Carter
7. Trae Young
8. Mohamed Bamba
9. Mikal Bridges
10. Collin Sexton
11. Miles Bridges
12. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
13. Kevin Knox
14. Lonnie Walker IV

Last updated: May 15

SI.com

1. DeAndre Ayton
2. Luka Doncic
3. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
4. Marvin Bagley III
5. Mohamed Bamba
6. Wendell Carter
7. Michael Porter
8. Trae Young
9. Mikal Bridges
10. Miles Bridges
11. Kevin Knox
12. Collin Sexton
13. Robert Williams
14. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Last updated: May 15

USA Today

1. DeAndre Ayton
2. Luka Doncic
3. Marvin Bagley III
4. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
5. Mohamed Bamba
6. Michael Porter
7. Trae Young
8. Wendell Carter
9. Collin Sexton
10. Mikal Bridges
11. Miles Bridges
12. Robert Williams
13. Kevin Knox
14. Dzanan Musa

Last updated: April 10

SB Nation

1. Luka Doncic
2. DeAndre Ayton
3. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
4. Marvin Bagley III
5. Michael Porter
6. Trae Young
7. Mohamed Bamba
8. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
9. Wendell Carter
10. Mikal Bridges
11. Miles Bridges
12. Zhaire Smith
13. Collin Sexton
14. Lonnie Walker IV

Last updated: May 15

Bleacher Report

1. Luka Doncic
2. DeAndre Ayton
3. Marvin Bagley III
4. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
5. Mohamed Bamba
6. Trae Young
7. Mikal Bridges
8. Michael Porter
9. Miles Bridges
10. Lonnie Walker IV
11. Wendell Carter
12. Collin Sexton
13. Robert Williams
14. Kevin Knox

Last updated: May 15

Net Scouts

1. DeAndre Ayton
2. Luka Doncic
3. Marvin Bagley III
4. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
5. Mohamed Bamba
6. Wendell Carter
7. Michael Porter
8. Trae Young
9. Collin Sexton
10. Miles Bridges
11. Kevin Knox
12. Dzanan Musa
13. Mikal Bridges
14. Robert Williams

Last updated: May 15

CBS Sports

1. DeAndre Ayton
2. Luka Doncic
3. Marvin Bagley III
4. Michael Porter
5. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
6. Trae Young
7. Mohamed Bamba
8. Collin Sexton
9. Wendell Carter
10. Mikal Bridges
11. Miles Bridges
12. Robert Williams
13. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
14. Kevin Knox

Last updated: May 15

Basketball Insiders

1. DeAndre Ayton
2. Luka Doncic
3. Marvin Bagley III
4. Michael Porter
5. Jaren Jackson, Jr.
6. Trae Young
7. Mohamed Bamba
8. Mikal Bridges
9. Wendell Carter
10. Miles Bridges
11. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
12. Collin Sexton
13. Robert Williams
14. Lonnie Walker IV

Last updated: May 15

ESPN Insider: Jonathan Givony
SI.com: Jeremy Woo
Net Scouts: Carl Berman
Bleacher Report: Jonathan Wasserman
Basketball Insiders: Steve Kyler
CBS Sports: Gary Parrish

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