UAAP Season 81: Final Four race scenarios

Mark Escarlote on Apr 11, 2019 06:03 PM
UAAP Season 81: Final Four race scenarios
Here's a look at the possible Final Four race scenarios in the UAAP Season 81 women's volleyball tournament.

The UAAP Season 81 women’s volleyball tournament is now in the final stretch of the race for semifinals berths.

Ateneo de Manila University is already through to the Final Four while four other teams - De La Salle University, Far Eastern University, University of Sto. Tomas and University of the Philippines – are still in the thick of the battle for a semis seat.

As the elimination round heads into the last weekend playdates before the Holy Week break, here’s a look at some scenarios for the five squads.

 

ATENEO DE MANILA UNIVERSITY

The Lady Eagles just clinched their 10th straight post-season ticket following their 10th win in a row in 11 outings.

With the semis seat secured, Ateneo now shifts its focus in obtaining a twice-to-beat advantage in the Final Four.

Ateneo will march into battle on Saturday against their archrivals, the three-time defending champion Lady Spikers. A win will hand the Lady Eagles the semis bonus and the no. 1 seed.

In case Ateneo bows down once again to its first round tormentors, the Lady Eagles will still have two more tries as they will still face also-ran teams Adamson University (April 24) and University of the East (April 28).

Things will get complicated in a scenario where Ateneo drops all of its remaining three games.

 

DE LA SALLE UNIVERSITY

The Lady Spikers are currently at the no. 2 spot with an 8-3 record.

DLSU only needs to win one more out of its last three assignments against Ateneo, UE (April 24) and FEU (April 28) to book its 11th straight post-season appearance (the Lady Spikers advanced to the Finals outright in Season 74).

To pocket a semis twice-to-beat incentive, DLSU will have to sweep its last three games.

A single loss in their remaining assignments could still put their twice-to-beat advantage hopes in danger especially in a case of a two-way tie at 10-4 with either UST or FEU. In this scenario, DLSU will have to go to a playoff for a twice-to-beat semis bonus.

Two losses in their last three games will put the Lady Spikers in danger of losing chance for a Final Four incentive while dropping all of their remaining games will push DLSU in a precarious position of missing the semis completely.

 

    

UNIVERSITY OF SANTO TOMAS and FAR EASTERN UNIVERSITY

These two teams will face each other on Sunday in a crucial match where a ticket to the Final Four is at stake. Both carry 8-4 slates.

If the Tigresses hurdle the Lady Tams and National University (April 27), they will have a chance to vie for a twice-to-beat advantage via playoff given that DLSU loses one of its last three games for a 10-4 card tie. UST can take the no. 2 seed outright if it sweeps its last pair of assignments and the Lady Spikers drop two of their last three outings.

If FEU wins against UST and defeats the Lady Spikers, the Lady Tams will get a chance to pocket a Final Four incentive if DLSU ends up with a 9-5 slate.     

Just like the Tigresses, the Lady Tams can get the semis twice-to-beat outright given that DLSU absorbs a fifth loss.  

  

UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES

The Lady Maroons have the hardest route to enter the Final Four and end a two-year postseason drought.

With a 6-6 record, UP can’t afford to lose any more games in its remaining matches against spoilers NU on Sunday and Adamson (April 27).

The Lady Maroons have to sweep their last two assignments and hope that another team among DLSU, FEU and UST ends up with an 8-6 record at the end of the elims to forge a playoff for the no. 4 spot.

UP can kiss their semis hopes goodbye if the Lady Spikers, Lady Tams and Tigresses all reach nine wins.

 

LOGJAM SCENARIOS

Three-way tie at no. 1-3

In a scenario where three teams end up with 10-4 records with Ateneo, DLSU and either UST or FEU, the team with the highest earned points (quotient) will take the no. 1 seed and Final Four incentive while the other two squads will have a playoff for the no. 2 seed and last twice-to-beat advantage.  

 

Three-way tie at no. 2-4

In case DLSU, UST and FEU end up in a three-way tie at 9-5 at second to fourth spot, the top two teams with the highest quotients will battle in a playoff for a no. 2 spot and the last twice-to-beat advantage.

The team with the lowest quotient will get the no. 4 berth and will face the top seed in the Final Four.  

 

Three-way or two-way tie at no. 3-5

There will be a playoff for the no. 4 spot in case of a two-way tie at 8-6 cards.   

In case DLSU, UP or either FEU or UST end up in a three-way logjam at 8-6, the team with the highest quotient shall be the third seed while the two other squads will play a sudden death for the last Final Four seat.

 

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